Decision Intelligence

CORE App — The Intelligent Risk Decision Engine

A modern application for quantitative decision-making. CORE brings together velocity, acceleration, causal proximity and opportunity into a single, auditable risk platform.

Read the CORE White Paper Explore CORE Insights

Dynamic prioritisation

RiskTime charts urgency, not just severity.

Dual-axis intelligence

Opportunity and threat on the same decision frame.

Why CORE App?

CORE App is designed for executives and risk teams who need a practical, modern framework to make better decisions in fast-moving, uncertain environments.

Signal over noise

Move beyond static heat maps and watch risk trajectories in real time.

Causal clarity

CCORD reveals the decision window and causal boundary for each material risk.

Integrated governance

Designed to augment existing frameworks, not to replace them.

CORE App is built for rapid adoption

The platform is anchored in a practical decision process: identify the top risks, quantify their momentum, map them on the causal frame, and use the results to direct resources where they will make the most difference.

Built for executives

Makes risk decisions auditable, directional, and board-ready.

Designed for teams

Supports risk, finance, operations and sustainability with a single shared view.

CORE Reporting Layer

Three-tier reporting delivery based on one data model: executive dashboard, management analysis, and specialist analytics. This section mirrors the prototype reporting logic and presentation style you provided.

CORE / RADAR / FORGE

Current Reading Vs Appetite

TTS gauge · appetite 5.0 · target 1.0 · current 32.7

Action Window Snapshot

CEO and board weekly decision brief
Due 5 daysRelease contingency trancheFund inventory hedge and trigger BCP while prevention space remains open.
Due 10 daysScale contactless channelPrioritise the control path driving most of the residual-risk reduction.
Weekly cadenceRe-run TTS and phase alertsEscalate directly to board if gap-to-appetite widens by more than 20% week-on-week.
4 mo
Lead Time
98.8%
Peak to Resolved
487%
ROI

Journey Milestones

First signal to resolution timeline

Investment Vs Avoided Loss

$ millions

Trajectory Evolution

Inherent risk vs managed risk with appetite and residual lines

Formula Build-Up At Peak

Running TTS as each component is applied
ComponentValue
Likelihood L1.00
Impact I9.33
Velocity V0.90
Amplification A, alpha2.5, 0.15/wk
Propagation ratio v/v_max0.85
Inherent TTS89.5

Decision Horizons

Action, predictability, and recovery windows

Inside the action horizon, prevention actions remain optional and low-cost. In predictability space, reversible hedges dominate. Beyond recovery horizon, governance shifts from prevention to restoration speed and capital efficiency.

HorizonRange
Action0-2 months
Predictability2-7 months
Recovery7-16 months

Stochastic TTS Formula

Distribution-driven specialist model view
TTS(t) = { [L~(t) x I~(t) x V~(t) x (1 + A~ x exp(alpha~ x t))]
          / sqrt(1 - (v~(t)/v_max)^2) } x [1 + beta x (psi~/psi_c)^gamma]

L~(t) ~ Beta(5,15)
I~(t) ~ Normal(8.5, 0.8^2)
TTI~ ~ LogNormal(2.7, 0.3^2),   V~ = 1/TTI~
A~ ~ Triangular(1.0, 1.5, 3.0)
alpha~ ~ Normal(0.08, 0.02^2)
v~(t) ~ Beta(2,8) x 1.0
psi~(t) = sum(w_i x R~_i(t))

Clements Conformal Risk Diagram

Conformal-mapped trajectory across the causal boundary